Venezuela: Political Reform or Regime Demise?

Por Venezuela Real - 29 de Julio, 2008, 17:27, Categoría: Prensa Internacional

International Crisis Group
Latin America Report N°27
July 23, 2008

Download report (pdf - 781 kb)


TABLE OF CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS

I. INTRODUCTION

II. 2007: SEEKING CONSTITUTIONAL REFORM AND REGIME CONSOLIDATION
A. ACCELERATING THE REVOLUTION
B. THE CONSTITUTIONAL REFORM.
C. WANING SUPPORT
1. Political context
2. Socio-economic and public security problem
D. INTERNATIONAL CONTEXT
E. THE DECEMBER 2007 REFERENDUM

III. 2008: THE BEGINNING OF THE END FOR CHAVEZ?
A. IS POLITICAL REFORM STILL POSSIBLE?
B. THE POLITICAL FORCES
1. The pro-Chávez camp
2. The opposition
3. The potential for violence in the run-up to the November polls
C. THE SOCIAL AND INTERNATIONAL SITUATION
1. The socio-economic time bomb
2. International arena for the “socialism of the XXIst century”

IV. CONCLUSION

A. MAP OF VENEZUELA
B. CONSTITUTIONAL REFORM REFERENDUM RESULTS
C. ABOUT THE INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP
D. CRISIS GROUP REPORTS AND BRIEFINGS ON LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
E. CRISIS GROUP BOARD OF TRUSTEES
 





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